In a high-stakes UK general election, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak faces the unprecedented possibility of losing his seat in Richmond and Northallerton, despite winning it comfortably in 2019. With the Conservatives holding a 50% chance of retaining the constituency against Labour’s 47%, Sunak’s future hangs in the balance.
If ousted, Rishi Sunak would make history as the first serving UK Prime Minister to lose both the election and his seat concurrently. Speculation surrounds his potential return to the financial sector or relocation to California, where he owns a home, though Sunak has refuted plans to quit politics entirely.
Meanwhile, a recent survey by Savanta and Electoral Calculus suggests a dramatic reshaping of Parliament, projecting Labour to seize a commanding 382-seat majority, potentially reducing the Conservatives to their worst result in modern history with just 53 seats. This forecast includes prominent Tory figures like Jeremy Hunt, Liz Truss, and Priti Patel facing tough electoral battles.
Regardless of the outcome, a leadership contest within the Conservative Party looms, with contenders including Boris Johnson, David Cameron, and others preparing to vie for leadership roles. The election also signals potential losses for several Indian-origin MPs, including Shailesh Vara and Gagan Mohindra from the Tories, and Thangam Debbonaire of Labour, according to Electoral Calculus predictions.
As the nation awaits the election results on Friday, all eyes are on Sunak’s fate and the future direction of British politics under a potentially transformative Labour majority.