With voting ending in the 119-member Telangana Assembly on November 30, it was time for the exit polls to come up with their predictions on the likely winners and losers. Madhya Pradesh will be a close fight with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) enjoying a slight advantage in Assembly Elections 2023 while the party will easily go past the Congress in Rajasthan.
The Congress is comfortably ahead in neighbouring Chhattisgarh and the Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) is facing a tough fight in Telangana and is likely to lose power to the Congress, according to the NewsX Poll of Polls.
Madhya Pradesh, where the BJP had failed to secure a majority in 2018 and only formed the government after a rebellion and split in the Congress, is predicted to come back to power again. The NewsX Poll of Polls give the BJP 119 seats in the 230-member Assembly while the Congress is second at 107. The others may bag four seats in the Assembly where the majority mark is 116.
PolStrat exit poll gave the BJP 106-116 seats in Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections 2023 while Congress is predicted to have its nose ahead with 111-121 wins while others are in the 0-6 range. Jan Ki Baat exit poll puts BJp on 113, Congress 112 and others on five seats, while Matrize gave 118-130 seats to BJP, Congress at second spot with 97-107 and others at 0-2.
Rajasthan is most likely to stick to the pattern of voting out the incumbent government with the Congress on its way out, according to the NEwsX Poll of Polls. All exit polls give Rajasthan to the BJP which had lost the last time in 2018.
According to the ETG exit poll, the BJP will win 108-128 seats in the 200-member Rajasthan Assembly while the Congress will be ousted with just 56-72 wins and other smaller parties may bag 13-21. Jan Ki Baat exit poll shows the BJP securing 100-122 wins, Congress 62-85 and others 14-15 while PolStrat claims it will be a much closer fight with BJP winning 100-110 seats, Congress 90-100 and other 5-15.
All exit polls give Chhattisgarh to Congress with most predicting a simple majority while one gave it a sweeping victory. The CNX exit poll claimed that BJp will win 30-40 seats in the 90-member Assembly while Congress will be ahead with 46-56 wins and others will bag 3-5. The Jan Ki Baat exit poll predicts 34-45 seats for BJP and 42-53 for Congress while AXIS MY INDIA is giving 41 to BJP, 45 to Congress and four to others. On the other hand C-Voter gave a massive win to Congress with 72 seats while the BJP was with seven. TVS News also gave a big win to Congress with 54-64 seats and the BJP at the second spot with 29-39 and others between 0-2.
Telangana presents an exciting picture according to the Assembly elections exit polls. While PolStrat pits the ruling Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) of Chief Minister K Chandrasekhar Rao and Congress in a dead heat with the former predicted to win 48-58 seats in the 119 member Assembly, the latter will bag 49-59 seats. The All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) is predicted to win 6-8 while BJP will get 5-10 seats.
Jan Ki Baat is giving Congress 48-64 seats while the BRS is expected to win just 4-7. AIMIM is also predicted to bag 4-7 while BJP will win 7-13. On the other hand, CNX is giving the Congress majority in Telangana with 63-79 seats and the BRS way behind at 31-47. The AIMIM is expected to bag 5-7 while BJP will get 2-4 seats. Matrize also gave the state to Congress with 58-68 seats, BRS second with 46-56, AIMIN at third spot with 5-7 and BJP getting 4-9 while others are expected to get 0-1.
The two exit polls in Mizoram have a similar take on the electoral outcome. While Jan Ki Baat is giving an advantage to the six-party alliance called Zoram Peoples Movement (ZPM) with 15-25 seats in the 60-member Assembly, the ruling Mizo National Front (MNF) of Chief Minister Zoramthanga is a close second with 10-14. The Congress is way behind with 5-9 and BJP is expected to bag 0-2 seats.
CNX exit poll gives ZPM 12-16 seats while the MNF is neck-and-neck with 14-18 while the Congress has 8-10 and BJP 0-2.