Pre-Election survey reveals intriguing dynamics in five state polls

As the political spotlight shifts towards the impending state elections in Mizoram, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Telangana, scheduled to commence on November 7, a recent survey has offered intriguing insights into the electoral dynamics of these regions. With these state elections often seen as the semi-finals leading up to the national Lok Sabha elections […]

by TDG Network - November 4, 2023, 8:48 am

As the political spotlight shifts towards the impending state elections in Mizoram, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Telangana, scheduled to commence on November 7, a recent survey has offered intriguing insights into the electoral dynamics of these regions. With these state elections often seen as the semi-finals leading up to the national Lok Sabha elections expected in the coming year, the stakes are notably high.

In Chhattisgarh, the survey showcased a fierce competition between the Congress and the BJP, with 45.74 percent of respondents expecting a Congress-led government and 38.78 percent favoring the BJP. This balanced tussle indicates that both parties are putting up a robust fight to secure the state.

When it comes to the preferred Chief Minister, Bhupesh Baghel’s popularity stands out at 38.03 percent, underscoring his appeal among voters. Meanwhile, 20.24 percent of respondents favored Raman Singh, making it a closely watched race. Madhya Pradesh presents a similarly compelling narrative, with 47.41 percent of survey participants envisioning a Congress government and 44.42 percent supporting the BJP.

This neck-and-neck race sets the stage for an intense contest between the two major parties. Shivraj Singh Chauhan is the frontrunner for Chief Minister, securing 45.20 percent support, while Kamal Nath closely trails at 42.10 percent. The Chief Ministerial face-off adds an extra layer of intrigue to the electoral landscape.

In Rajasthan, the survey points towards a tight competition, with 45.76 percent anticipating a Congress-led government and 48.86 percent leaning towards the BJP. This suggests that the state remains a traditional battleground where both major parties are making significant efforts to sway voters. As for the Chief Minister’s position, Ashok Gehlot commands 28.36 percent of support, whereas Sachin Pilot captures 12.16 percent of preference. Rajasthan’s political terrain remains a focal point for the state elections.

The surveys illustrate the vibrant and dynamic nature of Indian politics, with local dynamics, charismatic leaders, and a diverse electorate influencing electoral outcomes. As the polling dates draw nearer, the political fervor in these states is bound to escalate, as voters gear up to cast their ballots and impact the future political landscape of their regions and the country at large. With these five states accounting for a substantial portion of parliamentary seats, these elections have the potential to reverberate on the national stage, making them a significant political event to watch in the coming weeks.

Survey on five states election

Q-1 Which political party do you anticipate will form the government in Chhattisgarh?
A Congress: 45.74%
B-BJP: 38.78%
C- Other parties: 8.58%
D-Can’t say: 6.90%
Q-2 Who do you prefer as the first choice for the Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh?
A- Bhupesh Baghel: 38.03%
B- Raman Singh: 20.24%
C- TS Singh Dev: 12.88%
D- Arun Sao: 18.40%
E-Can’t say: 10.45%
Q-3 Whose government do you see being formed in Madhya Pradesh?
A Congress: 47.41%
B-BJP: 44.42%
C- Other parties: 5.10%
D-Can’t say: 3.08%
Q-4 Who is your first choice as CM of Madhya Pradesh?
A- Shivraj Singh Chauhan: 45.20%
B- Kamal Nath: 42.10%
C- Digvijay Singh: 5.08%
D- Narendra Singh Tomar: 6.58%
E-Can’t say: 1.10%
Q-5 Which political party do you anticipate will form the government in Rajasthan?
A Congress: 45.76%
B-BJP: 48.86%
C- Other parties: 4.01%
D-Can’t say: 1.37%
Q-6 Who is your first choice as CM of Rajasthan?
A- Ashok Gehlot: 28.36%
B- Sachin Pilot: 12.16%
C- Vasundhara Raje Scindia: 26.37%
D- Gajendra Singh Shekhawat: 19.93%
E-Can’t say: 13.18%
Q-7 Which leader’s brand value at the Center will benefit from the results of five states?
A- Narendra Modi: 65.80%
B-Rahul Gandhi: 25.08%
C- Arvind Kejriwal: 3.04%
D-Can’t say: 6.08%