With just days left until Canadians head to the polls, the latest opinion polls show a surprising turnaround—Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party has taken the lead over the Conservative Party, potentially setting the stage for a majority win in the 343-member Parliament.
Liberals Bounce Back in Polls
According to a three-day Nanos poll released Monday, the Liberals are now at 43.7% public support, while the Conservatives trail at 36.3%. The New Democratic Party (NDP), led by Jagmeet Singh, lags far behind at 10.7%.
This surge is remarkable considering that just a month ago, the Liberals were significantly behind in the polls—before Carney replaced Justin Trudeau as party leader.
“We need a government that has a strong mandate, a clear mandate,” Carney said during a campaign rally, urging Canadians to vote in large numbers.
Mark Carney’s Impact Since Taking Over
At 60, Mark Carney, a former central bank governor with no political experience, took over leadership in a moment of crisis. His technocratic approach and bold stance against US President Donald Trump’s trade threats have resonated with many Canadians.
His message? Canada must reduce economic dependence on the US and secure a strong national government to resist external pressures.
Bold Economic Promises
The Liberal Party’s platform includes plans to spend C$130 billion over four years. However, the proposed 2025-26 deficit is expected to be C$62.3 billion, much higher than earlier projections.
Despite concerns over spending, many Canadians seem ready to give Carney’s economic vision a chance—especially after years of growing discontent under Trudeau due to inflation, high immigration, and a housing crisis.
Early Voting Begins, Voter Turnout in Focus
Elections Canada confirmed that over 2 million Canadians have already voted during the first day of advance voting. Canada has 28 million registered voters, but turnout has been declining—from 70–80% in the 20th century to just 62.3% in 2021.
With momentum building for the Liberals, the final voter turnout could be a decisive factor in securing a clear majority.
