KOMAL SINGH

Trump's Tariff Threats to India: What’s at Stake

Image Credit- Goggle

From August 1, India will face a 25% U.S. import tariff—a move tied to its energy and defense ties with Russia

Separate penalties will target India’s oil & military imports from Russia, part of Trump’s effort to cut off revenue supporting the Ukraine war

India’s U.S. trade surplus could shrink—hurting markets, investor sentiment, and GDP (~25‑40 bps)

Key exposed sectors: pharma, textiles, chemicals, auto components, solar gear—all relying heavily on U.S. demand

Trump links trade action to Russia-Ukraine conflict and accuses India of fueling the war machine by reselling Russian oil

Once called "friends," India‑U.S. ties are now strained—amid Trump’s Pakistan outreach and increased economic pressure

With negotiations scheduled for mid‑August, India may seek relief—but uncertainty remains until terms are finalized